Extra Fizz: Mallahan vs. McGinn, Very Close.

By Josh Feit, Monday, November 2, 2009 at 11:55 AM
View Comments

KING 5 is going to release polling later today that has Joe Mallahan and Mike McGinn in a statistical dead heat.

0 Responses to Extra Fizz: Mallahan vs. McGinn, Very Close.

  1. Narrows Bridge says:
    November 2, 2009 at 10:59 AM

    Your posting clock has not “fallen back” yet.

  2. Gordian says:
    November 2, 2009 at 11:06 AM

    I’d say that gives McGinn the edge, assuming this poll doesn’t reach cell phone users (a demographic that probably tilts towards him). Of course, it’s all going depend on how all those undecideds are swayed in the next 30 hours or so…

  3. Trevor says:
    November 2, 2009 at 11:30 AM

    Great. Just what we need: for this election to stretch on another two weeks.

  4. Transpo guy says:
    November 2, 2009 at 11:30 AM

    Gordian @2:

    McGinn also has a much stronger grassroots operation to get out the vote. If this is true, it shows a repeat of the same pattern leading up to the primary where late polling showed McGinn with huge momentum and then, with each set of returns, McGinn winning by bigger and bigger margins. If McGinn wins, it’ll show the power of grassroots politics in era of all vote-by-mail. It’ll also prove Josh a genius.

  5. Jessy Bagshaw says:
    November 2, 2009 at 11:30 AM

    Good eye “Narrows”! For that and other reasons Publicola really needs to hire someone with a bit more computer savvy than merely “microsoft certified”

  6. Michael M. says:
    November 2, 2009 at 11:38 AM

    @4

    Mallahan has a lot of labor behind him this time around, and they’ve been out canvassing and phone banking every day. I was doing canvasing in the 37th this weekend, and we didn’t see a single McGinn person canvasing, and apparently that’s been the norm (nobody has come across a McGinn doorbeller).

    I did see two people at Purr around 1130 on Saturday handing out lit during Purr’s annual Halloween Party. And then the lit hit the floor.

    But Purr on Tuesday will be awesome. Happy Hour til results come in, and then, if you support McGinn, you can walk down to the War Room for his party!

  7. Gordian says:
    November 2, 2009 at 11:43 AM

    Actually, I had a McGinn doorbeller on Saturday, and he said they were out en masse. Not sure what the means.

  8. north seattle says:
    November 2, 2009 at 11:43 AM

    I saw 8 McGinn people canvasing Lake City on Saturday and about 20 last weekend in Lake City/Maple Leaf/Northgate.

  9. Michael M. says:
    November 2, 2009 at 11:46 AM

    Huh…so they’re focusing in North Seattle, and Mallahan is focusing SE Seattle. Interesting.

  10. Gordian says:
    November 2, 2009 at 11:55 AM

    And West Seattle, which is where I live. It’s clear each recognizes the areas they need to work on.

  11. push polling is not internal polling says:
    November 2, 2009 at 12:06 PM

    Statistical dead heat on publicola means Mallahan is leading still.

  12. Gomez says:
    November 2, 2009 at 12:25 PM

    KING uses Survey USA, so I’m guessing this is an objective sample.

    We’ll see if we have to do a freaking recount in three weeks or not.

  13. Zelbinian says:
    November 2, 2009 at 12:40 PM

    @6

    Speaking personally as a McGinn supporter, I have been out lit dropping at least three times in completely different neighborhoods. Each time there were quite a few people gathered and we covered a lot of ground.

    I also heard that there was supposed to be an effort to reach the younger, cell-phone only crowd by going out to bars on Halloween, which is probably what you saw.

  14. raincity calling says:
    November 2, 2009 at 12:44 PM

    Regarding a potential for a recount — I hope that we do a public hand count no matter what given the article I read in the QA News that never appeared in the Seattle Times or anywhere else.

    The article, which was published after the Primary election, revealed problems with the new ballot scanners. It seems the scanners fail to record all votes. King County Elections was forced to scrutinize ballots and machines to make sure all votes were recorded. Per the article, KCE stated that in the General Election they will not be able to be as rigorous due to time constraints. If I were the candidates I would be making damn sure that KCE is just as rigorous in the General election as they were in the Primary. Here is the link to the article:

    http://queenannenews.com/main.asp?SectionID=26&SubSectionID=248&ArticleID=28995&TM=71490.61

  15. Get-out-Voter says:
    November 2, 2009 at 12:58 PM

    I was one of the group doing door to door get out vote earlier this week. I remember a day that we callected 6000 vote. 80% of them voted for McGinn. Those are people who would never have voted had we not knocked their doors.
    It looks like McGinn will have a good night tomorrow night. We are non-partisan get out vote group. We were not telling people who to vote but they were saying — McGinn

  16. Jon Morgan says:
    November 2, 2009 at 1:16 PM

    Dead heat = 5 point McGinn win. The polls have consistently underestimated his support. Cell phones.

  17. Mr.Baker says:
    November 2, 2009 at 2:07 PM

    I am still 51% in favor of Joe Mallahan.

  18. hmmm2 says:
    November 2, 2009 at 2:29 PM

    @15 You callected what?

  19. Gomez says:
    November 2, 2009 at 3:08 PM

    I picked up the Stranger’s fishwrap for the first time in a long while during lunch, and now I see where the anti-SurveyUSA sentiment on this and other sites is coming from: Eli Sanders is talking shit about them claiming he’s doing so because they got the clown car primary wrong. Likely, he’s under marching orders because they’ve shown their pet candidates polling poorly, and it’s in their best political interests to somehow illegitimize those numbers.

    And of course, Eli is hardly the brightest bulb in a box full of burned out bulbs (the guy did become Darcy Burner’s unofficial campaign spokesman during the last two Congressional campaigns, despite his alleged responsibilities as a news journalist), so trust his word at your own peril.

  20. DOUG. says:
    November 2, 2009 at 3:25 PM

    Someone better doorbell Mallahan’s house so he remembers to vote this time.

  21. chicagoexpat says:
    November 2, 2009 at 5:36 PM

    I luv the smell of … desperation… in the evening air… it smells like a Mallahan victory

    however, Publicola will never outlive its ridiculous role as the propoganda arm of the kewl kool aid kids behind McGinn.

    Do y’all really expect a majority of those voting to vote to kill Seattle? Only the trust fund kids like’em

  22. Chaz says:
    November 2, 2009 at 6:19 PM

    The newest survey usa poll has 12% undecided. That means nobody knows what’s going to happen. Should be exciting. (cite: http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=e265bfd2-724d-44e9-b1fd-81b447463ab1)

  23. Gomez says:
    November 2, 2009 at 7:33 PM

    21. You think Publicola’s a propaganda machine for McGinn? Wait until you see these guys!

blog comments powered by Disqus